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TOPIC: War in Ukraine

War in Ukraine 3 months 5 hours ago #3990892

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There can be no acceptable end to this war until Putin withdraws all of his mercenaries from Ukraine sovereign territory. If Putin is allowed to get away with this clear breach of international law, where next, Poland ? You cannot appease dictators. We tried it with Hitler and failed miserably.

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War in Ukraine 2 months 4 weeks ago #3991206

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David Arakhamia, parliamentary leader of Zelensky's ''Servant of the People'' party confirmed today in an interview what many speculated for close to 2 years.

If Ukraine agreed to remain a neutral country, not joining NATO, and accepting security guarantees from a coalition of western nations, Putin was ready to end the war at the end of March 2022, this was the main point.

According to David Arakhamia when he together with Ukraine's delegation came back to Kiev from the 29–30 March peace negotiations in Istanbul Boris Johnson came to Ukraine and said ''we will not sign anything at all with them, lets just fight!''

The rest is history. More than 500,000 Ukrainians dead and injured and a similar number on the other side, a whole generation of citizens, killed on the hubris of a few western politicians for their personal glory.

Today Ukraine can only dream about those conditions it was offered.

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War in Ukraine 2 months 3 weeks ago #3992491

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Much of the news regarding the Special Military Operation has been, or is being suppressed or ignored by the Western Media, the reason is twofold, Israel and the atrocities there and very bad news in Ukraine regarding the failed or failing, depending on your optimism, Counter Offensive.

The Ukrainian front line is in almost complete collapse and close to a rout, the incredibly severe weather being the only saving grace against a complete withdrawal from the fighting, but this in of itself is causing a terrible drop in morale and willingness to fight. More than a few Ukrainian Units have surrendered and given themselves over to the Russians, they have calculated that spending some time in a POW facility, harsh as it may be, is better than conditions on the front line and there is a high probability of a prisoner exchange at some point.

New figures for eligible male Ukrainians living outside of the country to avoid military service is now well over half a million, about the same number of Ukrainian dead and injured in the fighting.

The small glimmer of hope that was touted last week, a landing and incursion across the Dnipro River has gone quite. And the blame for all this Ukrainian misery is being sheeted squarely home to the US and other allies for not providing everything Ukraine needs to combat Russia overall superiority in men and equipment, as one Ukrainian General said, bravery will only get you so far and doesn't make you bulletproof.

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War in Ukraine 2 months 3 weeks ago #3993782

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Jens Stoltenberg, Secretary of NATO mentioned in a speech to rally support that if the amount of military aid going to Ukraine doesn't considerably increase, in both value and lethality, then the West must start preparing for some bad news.

US Secretary of Defence Austin echoed that sentiment in a speech he also gave in the last view days, the US is not yet ready to turn tale and abandon Ukraine, but they are making it even more clear that the time is not far away and that the sooner negotiations start the better the outcome will be for Ukraine.

The reported highlight of Ukraines week was, partially verified, news of two sabotage missions that destroyed trains in Russia's far east, thousands of miles from the front line. Ukraine is undertaking more and more, and more risky International attacks to try and get Russia to reallocate some front line forces to homeland defence.

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War in Ukraine 2 months 1 week ago #3996707

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Visiting Washington to lobby Congress for more funds to support his war folly Zeleskyy has stated that if the US gives him another Trillion Dollars he is sure that he can take twice the amount of territory off of the Russians during his next failed Counter Offensive, except he doesn't have any troops left, still that's not a problem because Donald Tusk, the new leader of Poland has called for a full mobilisation of the West to protect Ukraine. That'll work out won't it.

The only way this conflict, like the one in Gaza, is going to end is if the side swallow their huberus and sit down and negotiate and make a few sacrifices for world peace.

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War in Ukraine 2 months 1 week ago #3998134

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Ukraine is short of cannon fodder to fight the war, this becomes evident after viewing their latest recruitment campaign which is encouraging families to enlist together with the guarantee they can serve in the same unit. Husbands, wives, sons, daughters even grandparents (under 60).

The latest assessment of Ukraine's tactics suggest they just want to survive until spring and hope the US or another EU country comes to fight for them.

On the peace front, it seems France's Macron drew the short straw and has indicated he will try to open talks with Putin to end the conflict.

In the US there is a hardening stance being adopted towards new aid/funding for Ukraine from the Republicans, in an election year they have several priorities higher than foreign military aid and want movement on these before they'll talk about aid for Ukraine. The Southern Border being on top of the list as that is seen to be their strongest policy winner against President Biden.
The following user(s) said Well Said: Robin

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War in Ukraine 2 months 5 days ago #3999291

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In a recent questionnaire by a local Member of Parliament following the suggestion from the AFU that they need an additional 500,000 troops to continue fighting with a minimum of 20,000 per month just to replenish battlefield losses Ukrainians told the MP they no longer value their citizenship.

Some 74% of men and 65% of women said they would opt to give up their Ukrainian citizenship, if that buys them a draft exemption. There are already more 650,000 Ukrainians of military age who have left the country.

Nobody wants to fight for a country that they value so little because it values them so little. They would fight for Ukraine but not the West, and this is more evidently being seen as the Wests war.

Additionally, there have been suggestions from some UK politicians that the UK would send troops to Ukraine to fight in the event Ukraine is seen as close to defeat, which is not that far away.

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War in Ukraine 1 month 3 weeks ago #4001751

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So the Biden administration is now articulating what everyone knew was coming, that Ukraine can't defeat Russia and will have to cede territory and negotiate for peace. The Ukrainians rightfully feel they have been stabbed in the back and that any deal they get now will be infinity worse than the one the UA and the UK told them to walk away from in 2022 before the fighting started. The Ukrainians want to fight on despite they themselves realising that their position is hopeless. It is a election year in the US and likely the UK as well, nobody wants to campaign in the shadow of a conflict in Ukraine that is draining military capacity without any successes to compensate.

The US has run out of funding for Ukraine and it is unlikely the Republicans will agree to further wasted spending without getting substantial concessions on the US Southern Border that Biden is not willing to give them. Israel is also hampering the funding question with the two being linked, however the increasingly negative association Israel is causing the US and the subsequent loss of global influence will see that issue resolved in the nearer rather than distant future.

Biden has lost the younger cohorts of voters who are now more likely than not going to sit the election out or start pressuring hard for a change of Democrat contender. This will make a likely non Trump Republican win more probable.

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War in Ukraine 1 month 2 weeks ago #4004970

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say the support to Ukraine is 2e+11 US $ , it could increase to 3e+11 in 2024/25. Russian army can
hardly be 1e+6 men. This is 3e+5 for one Russian. soldier. Everyone would prefere cash to glory and the war is over .

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War in Ukraine 1 month 1 week ago #4010257

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Poor old Volod is having a bad and deteriorating time, he was hoping for lots of goodies in his Xmas stocking but got dust, which is where his troops seem to be dissolving to as well.

In the latest report of similar incidents 90% of the 1st Infantry Battalion of the 4th Tank Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces refused to carry out the order and go to the front line to fight with the Russian Armed Forces. This also follows reports that substantial numbers of AFU troops are pulling back and ceding territory to the Russians.

The Ukrainians have lost a number of critical AD assets lately and this has given Russia opportunities to strike behind the front lines and hit critical logistical and command nodes, the same tactic Ukraine was employing against Russia, but Ukraine has depleted its long range strike capability while Russia has been replenished with munitions from the DPRK.

This has left Ukraine with a limited attack capability which is mainly focused on small scale drone enabled actions, the new go to weapon of choice in this conflict. Ukraine had had the upper hand in this sphere but again Russia has rapidly adapted and is now outpacing the Ukrainians.

Winter has arrived and it is cold, in Kyiv, in Moscow, but most bitterly on the fighting line, and there is a long way to go.

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